Wednesday, July 22, 2015

The Year Of The Internet Where You Live

Drive Carefully
A brief moment of storytelling. Indulge, if you will.

In January 2005, I was working at one of the world's most advanced online marketing companies. We served up behaviorally targeted work in a proprietary window, with fantastic targeting opportunities, cross-traffic analysis, and best-in-class reporting. I had the advantage of data driven insights in hundreds of properties and consumer categories, and it was incredibly fast-paced, with creative turns coming in a near real-time environment.

I was also in strong need of a vacation, especially at the end of the busy holiday season, and took one of the bigger ones of my life, a 2-week trip to New Zealand.

New Zealand in 2005 was, in terms of the Internet, about a decade behind the red-hot Silicon Valley scene that was my day to day. Wifi was in its infancy, cell phones (none all that smart) didn't work for much of the area, and connection speed was frequently open to question. I'd log in at cybercafes or in the evenings, clear my email, and took a couple of interviews with press and direct marketing companies while seeing the sights.

I also thought long and hard about emigrating. The country was (and presumably, is) incredibly beautiful, the food was great, and every time we went someplace new (we rented a car and went from the North Island to the South), it got even better. Professionally, I also knew that on some level, I had a tactical advantage of knowing what the future of the country would look like, and could use that to benefit clients. But in the talks that I had with many of the players there, it became clear that overcoming skepticism and conservatism would just be too frustrating, and starting over entirely new wasn't going to work on a personal level. If I had been 10 years younger, I probably would have decided otherwise, and my life would have been very different.

The broader point of bringing this up is the stark differences stayed with me as an opportunity not taken. Knowing when your industry, country or consumer category is, rather than just making the Naturalistic Fallacy of assuming that is what is true for you is true for all, is a strong consideration. And the relative when is only going to get more complicated with the advent of what's referred to as mobile today, and will be better understood later as the Internet of Things.

There are tactics (personalized recommendations, dynamic content, community and social media) that are done in, say, e-commerce... that have not come to pass in other categories or countries just yet. It's also possible that they might never; given the Web's downward pressure on profit margins for brick and mortar, you can see why some actors would prefer that this "progress" would not come their way.

But the same forces that made the lower fruit fall from the tree should, eventually, take care of most of the higher pieces. What happened to the music industry predicted, with cruel certainty, what happened to journalism. Connectivity across devices will speed things like showrooming, consumer reviews, social interaction into brand marketing, and so on, and so on. E-commerce efficiencies will start to intrude on last mile business where location has mattered more than connectivity. Targeting for lead generation and CRM was already used to great effect in the 2012 and 2014 political cycles, in ways that took many by surprise, but no one who works in high touch e-commerce.

So what does the savvy marketing and advertising pro do, to take advantage of this condition? Monitor not just your category, but others that match your demo -- especially if they are more technologically advanced or web-savvy. Consider how trends in the overall Web (social, mobile, changing browsers and platforms, wearable/IoT) might be used to impact your business, and lobby internally to have a proactive, rather than reactive, road map in development. Keep your eyes and ears open, because when the world changes, it doesn't do so with polite updates.

After all, we're thirty years and counting into an ever-widening role of connectivity changing our lives. If you can take advantage of being further along in the story, you've got a better chance of making that story work for you.

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Speaking of working for you, I'd be happy to. Please like or share this column, connect with me on LinkedIn, email me at davidlmountain at gmail dot com, or hit the quote boxes at top right. We offer copywriting, direction and strategy, along with design, illustration, photography, coding and hosting. The RFPs are always free. Hope to hear from you soon.

Monday, July 20, 2015

Marketing By The Numbers

Negotiations
He say seven, I say eight. He say eight, I say nine. I got plenty numbers left. Huh! When I start, I no stop-a for nothing. I bid 'em up. I go higher, higher, higher, all the time is go higher.

Chico Marx in “Cocoanuts”, the first Marx Brothers movie, showing Essential Marketing Wisdom

In Start Up Land, it’s very important to be able to pivot for changing market currents. Especially in Ad Tech, what makes money this year might not make money next year, and when it comes to making quarterly projections, you need to be able to adjust on the fly.

Ad Tech also tends to create new and very interesting numbers, because that is the nature of Big Data. Cross-traffic analysis, lifetime value on a channel basis, performance lifts over the control. All of it seems very exciting and Web 3.0-ish, and helps point the way to a better world of targeted buying and lead generation.

That is the good part of the business. The bad is when you hit numbers that do not matter, because, well, they help to distract people from what is going on at higher levels.

This can really come into play at a lead quality level, when you get tasks like the direction of so many followers in social media, so many new addresses for the house list, and so on, and so on. What matters, from a measurable standard, can and should get granular, especially when you have a complicated and substantial marketing program in place.

However, the core of what matters has not changed with technology, because business is not like that. Number and cost per lead, conversion percentages, and lifetime value of said leads, all of which boils down to Return On Investment, or ROI.

At far too many start ups, middle management likes to get into the weeds of measurement… and it manifests mostly as a way to cover themselves in the case of a down cycle. Sure, the company revenue might be stagnant or in retreat, but look at how many times we rang a bell, fixed a problem, made some multiple of some past quarter, or hit the turn on a dev cycle.

Except that the bell ringing might have been for trivial contracts, the problems may have been internal and never affected revenue or turnover. Or that the multiples over quarter did not matter because, well, they did not track to revenue, and the dev work was, once again, not tied to revenue.

If you find yourself in the presence of management who likes to cite these additional numbers in the case of a weak quarter, or as a way to distract or tell the story of how the quarter was mixed instead of down…

Well, you are in the presence of people who are covering a real agenda.

They might be doing it for the best of reasons. Maybe they are trying to alleviate employee turnover or panic, to keep the stock price buoyant for a merger or additional funding, to create a more positive environment so that the venture capital does not turn tail and run.

Or maybe, and somewhat more realistically, they are lying for less noble reasons.

In any event… if and when this passes the smell test, you will get more of it. Then, it will perpetuate, and maybe even spawn additional pointless metrics.

Bovine Stuff tends to create more Bovine Stuff.

It does not, however, usually create a stable, profitable, and long-running business.

Or a place you will really want, or get to, spend too much of your career at…

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If you found this interesting, please like or share this column, connect with me on LinkedIn, email me at davidlmountain at gmail dot com, or hit the RFP boxes top right. We offer copywriting, direction and strategy, along with design, illustration, photography, coding and hosting. The RFPs are always free. Hope to hear from you soon.

Friday, July 17, 2015

If We Treated Offline Ads The Way We Treat Online...

Stop Hitting Yourself, Stop Hitting...
Imagine, just for a moment, what the world of offline marketing and advertising would look like, if we treated it the same as we do online.

(These are the kinds of things that online advertising and marketing pros dream about, especially on summer Fridays, when Problem Clients call at 4:45pm to tell you, at length, why they are unhappy and why you should be unhappy, too. Good times! But I digress.)

So...

Outdoor billboards: A portion of the placements only get to charge for the percentage of drivers that view the art. The others only get to charge for the number of people who directly respond, probably via a special phone number or URL. No one cares if these results come from a sign that's on a busy road, or one that's only seen on Google Earth. Oh, and any billboard that's particularly attuned to the needs and wants of the driver causes many journalists to mount a piece of furniture, pull up their petticoats, and shriek about privacy.

Television ads -- Viewers need to be stationary and in the room for broadcast to begin. For a percentage of the campaign, payment only occurs if the consumer takes an action following the ad. Finally, the ads all need to comply to outdated production standards of small file size, and a portion of the flight has to be in analog film, because a number of channels refuse to invest in infrastructure to get to newer standards.

Direct mail -- Not charged for postage unless received by the consumer and opened, so anything that goes straight into the recycling can is free to the person who rents the list. Since this medium has been around longer than others, anyone that works in the field is scorned by other producers, despite the solid ROI.

Radio -- Again, only charged for direct and attributable action from the consumer, so the content is constantly surrounded by a thick covering of constant advertising. Since there is no branding advantage accepted, a tragedy of the commons impacts all but the most highly rated programs.

Event sponsorship -- Thanks to our perfect reporting of those who directly engage with the brand, event sponsors only pay for the subset of attendees who can recall, in a post-event survey, the association.

Anyway... you get the point, right? The idea that offline ads are the only way to establish brand, and online can not have branding impact because we can measure response so well... it's been this bubble point that everyone who works on one side of the desk knows has to end one day, while the other side just keeps on insisting that things continue the way they are. Because there's more inventory than opportunity, and the technology allows advertising to match the personal profile instead of the demography of a particular site, branding benefits in online have always been a non-starter.

Will anything ever pop the unreality? Well, maybe. I'm a big believer in data and analytics eventually winning the day, and when we add in the Internet of Things to give us additional distribution and data collection moments, maybe the targeting gets so good that we have to accept the de facto branding. If the fragmentation of mass media continues, maybe that accelerates the market correction as well.

But man alive, some of us have been taking the myth of no billable impact for online brand awareness for decades now. When do we get to stop hitting ourselves with data?

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If you found this interesting, please like or share this column, connect with me on LinkedIn, email me at davidlmountain at gmail dot com, or hit the RFP boxes top right. We offer copywriting, direction and strategy, along with design, illustration, photography, coding and hosting. The RFPs are always free. Hope to hear from you soon.